tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3098264341625381422.post1604392564419861022..comments2024-03-18T17:01:07.165-07:00Comments on The Provocateur: The Political Science Class Lessons of the Obama Campaignmike volpehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02999118519606254362noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3098264341625381422.post-69736319211018939192008-09-16T16:17:00.000-07:002008-09-16T16:17:00.000-07:00You'll have to give me an example of a state. Obam...You'll have to give me an example of a state. Obama has all but abandoned his 50 state strategy. I know of no neighboring states are turing blue. I do know that he is struggling in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, Minnesota, and he might even have trouble in New Jersey and New York. Montana, and all states surrounding it, have turned off on Obama because of guns. The south is not his territory. States like Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada were always in play and I wouldn't count them as part of some sort of fifty state strategy. In my opinion, there will be no surprise state to fall to Democrats on the fourth. That makes his strategy a failure.mike volpehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02999118519606254362noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3098264341625381422.post-75268046928820695702008-09-16T16:02:00.000-07:002008-09-16T16:02:00.000-07:00I agree with you on all but one point. The 50-sta...I agree with you on all but one point. The 50-state strategy is actually extremely well thought out and will be what we look back on as the deciding factor in this election. The Obama team has patience, and they've shown that they're willing to lose a little temporary ground in order to make it up and more in the long run. This is exactly what the 50-state strategy is. By nudging a strong Republican state just a tiny bit towards the Dems, it helps turn a neighboring purple state blue. See, people on the border of another state have much more in common with those people than they often do with people in their own state hundreds of miles away. So while it LOOKS like he's wasting resources, he's actually developing a strategy that looks at the country in terms of communities and pockets of people. This is enough to tip the balance in his favor.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com